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Market Report

June 2024
Director of Economic Research

RARE’s Economic Research Department meticulously examines TREB’s monthly data releases, distilling them into an easily digestible and insightful format within our market report.

Introduction

Deals In The Air

June’s housing market saw a surge in new listings and active inventory, with falling house prices and weak pre-construction sales. Despite this, housing starts hit record highs and mortgage rates dropped.


Key Developments

Toronto Metro experienced an increase in new listings in June, resulting in significant active inventory growth and a weakening of market balance indicators, accompanied by declining house prices. The rental and new construction segments also saw weakness, with pre-construction sales being exceptionally low. Despite this, housing starts have remained strong, and completions have reached new record-high levels. At the same time, mortgage rates have edged lower, supported by the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cut and lower bond yields.

Sales Remained Exceptionally Weak

In June, Toronto Metro sales continued to weaken which is not uncommon for this time of year, as sales usually decline between May and December. They dropped by 11% compared to the previous month, were 17% lower year-over-year, and 34% below the 10-year average. The total of 6,213 sales was the lowest number recorded for this month since at least 2006.

New Listings Activity Was Elevated

The number of new listings in June was higher than the historical norm. Even though it declined by 3% compared to the previous month, typically it declines more significantly in June and continues to do so towards the end of the year, except for a slight uptick in September. This indicates that the underlying new listing activity is growing. It was 13% higher than last year’s level and 7% above the 10-year average. The total of 17,963 new listings is the highest for this month since at least 2006, excluding the pandemic period.


Daniel Foch

About Daniel Foch

With over 15 years of experience in the real estate industry, Daniel Foch has amassed a wealth of expertise, having worked with prominent organizations like Interrent REIT, CBRE, and Hydro One, facilitating transactions exceeding $250M across various asset classes. He also made significant contributions to the University of Guelph’s Real Estate Faculty, founding the International URECC event and earning recognition for affordable housing innovation from CMHC and the University. Recognized as a trusted and balanced source of real estate insight, Daniel frequently appears in Canadian media outlets such as The Wall Street Journal, CBC, and The Globe and Mail. Leveraging his expertise, he has cultivated a sizable audience of over 100,000 real estate investors on social media platforms by delivering primary research and market analysis.